【ACY证券】与全球股指背道而驰，纳指何以逆势转跌加剧背离
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">最近全球股市的表现非常亮眼，各大股指纷纷突破或触及近期高点。观察股指的走势能够发现一个规律，那些疫情爆发最严重的国家，例如法国、英国与美国，其股指涨幅却远超过其他国家。难道一个国家的疫情越严重，股市反而会表现得越好？实则因果关系正好相反。正是<b>因为这些国家提前解除防疫封锁，使其经济加快复苏节奏，从而引发股市的上涨。但同时，没有了封锁限制，疫情也在这些国家快速蔓延。这也导致“疫情越严重，股票越升值”的反常逻辑。</b>纵观目前的金融市场，风险资本的信心全面恢复；不过板块间的差异也在逐渐扩大，交易者需要对不同股指的表现差异有所了解。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">昨日美国方面发布了制造业</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">PMI</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">与自主离职率，两个数据均弱于市场预期，体现目前美国经济恢复的放缓。由此可见，即便资本市场正在恢复信心，但疫情正在实际影响着美国的就业环境。不过<b>有意思的是，在数据发布后，全球股市呈现集体下滑；但跌幅最大的却并非是直接关联的工业板块，反而是此前大幅反弹的科技板块，也就是纳斯达克指数。</b>在其他股指高位整理的同时，纳指却完全脱离前高，回归到大幅震荡的行情当中。这其中的原因正是</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">ACY</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">证券反复提及的美联储加息，相比于其他股指，纳指对加息更加敏感。明日凌晨即将发布美联储货币政策会议纪要，或将进一步对纳指施加空头压力。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p><p><br><br>data/attachment/portal/202201/05/134718ru76n6e6n4k7a7a6.jpg<br></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;">
</span>
<span style="font-size:16.5px;">
</span><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="mso-no-proof:yes">
</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;line-height:normal"><i>NAS100一小时图</i></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">从纳指小时图来看，在指数触及到</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">16600</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">的历史高点后，动能明显降低。<b>伴随昨日的经济数据发布，指数高位回落，</b></span><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">200</span></b><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">均线形成拐点，</span></b><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">K</span></b><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">线长实体突破头部颈线与下降趋势线，</span></b><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">M</span></b><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">顶反转形态成立，形态上呈现强利空信号。</span></b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">指标方面来看，</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">CCI</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">趋势指标跌深反弹回到中心区域，价格动能还未体现下行。目前指数正在</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">16150-16300</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">区间企稳，形成了价格静区形态。整体来看，交易策略可以采用突破跟随进行做空。突破点位主要关注</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">16150</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">关口，可以配合</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">CCI</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">趋势指标下穿</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">-100</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">线的利空信号，增加入场胜率。现价下方的支撑在</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">16000</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">和</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">15800</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">两个位置，上方阻力则要看</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">16300</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">附近。消息方面需要格外关注明日凌晨发布的货币政策会议纪要，如果纪要中提及具体加息计划，便是不错的基本面利空信号。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""><span style="font-size:16.5px;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">今日关注资料</span></b><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></b></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">17:00<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext">欧元区</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">12</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">月服务业</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">PMI</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">21:15<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext">美国</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">12</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">月</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">ADP</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">就业人数</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">22:45<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext">美国</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">12</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">月</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">Markit</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">服务业</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">PMI</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">23:30<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext">美国当周</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">EIA</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">原油库存与战略储备库存</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""><span style="font-size:16.5px;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">联系我们</span></b></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">电话：</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">167 4049 5509<span lang="ZH-CN">（中国）</span></span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">
1300 729 171</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">（澳大利亚）</span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">QQ</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">：</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">8000 97651</span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">微信：</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">acyau2011</span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">官网：</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">https://www.acycn.com</span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">邮箱：</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">[email protected]</span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p><p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;"></span></span></span></p><p><br><br>data/attachment/portal/202201/05/134739kna6azgxix3kvcjx.gif<br></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; font-size: large; background-color: white;"> </span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">免责声明：</span></b></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;background:white;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; color: black;">本文内容由第三方提供。</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; color: black;">ACY<span lang="ZH-CN">证券对文中内容的准确性和完整性，不做任何声明或保证；由第三方的建议，预测或其他信息导致了投资损失，</span>ACY<span lang="ZH-CN">证券不承担任何责任。本文内容不构成任何投资建议，与个人投资目标，财务状况或需求无关。如有任何疑问，请您咨询独立专业的财务或税务的意见。</span>ACY
Securities Pty Ltd<span lang="ZH-CN">（</span>AFSL 403863<span lang="ZH-CN">）受澳大利亚证券投资委员会授权和监管。</span></span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; color: black;"> </span></span></span><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Segoe UI",sans-serif"></span></p>
页:
[1]