【ACY证券】美国财报季迎来首个科技巨头，奈飞股价能否顶住压力
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-hansi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">本周的金融市场比较平静，除了日本利率决议外，没有其他重要的影响事件。经历了上周的通胀、就业与政策的冲击，整体市场呈现大幅回调</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">，尤其是全球股市表现不佳。在美联储加息的阴影笼罩之下，美国科技股今年开局不利，两周内累计跌幅高达</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">4%</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">。六大科技股集体暂缓涨势，除苹果外均出现大幅回调。<b>不过美国股市自上周起进入了财报季，由金融板块领头发布财报。本周即将发布财报的公司便包括高盛、摩根士丹利、美国银行等银行股以及首个科技巨头奈飞</b></span><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">Netflix</span></b><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">。</span></b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">美国科技股能否借助财报东风，一反先前的颓势？</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">要说去年全球话题度最高、经济活动影响最广的热点，“鱿鱼游戏”这部韩国电视剧必然是其中之一。作为出品方的奈飞借此圈了一大批付费用户，完成了拓展亚洲市场的目标。秉持“内容为王”的理念，奈飞的股价也随之结束震荡大举上扬。然而在新冠疫情期间，流媒体行业发展迅速，竞争也愈发激烈。包括迪士尼、</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">HBO</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">、亚马逊等多个内容平台都盯上了这一块蛋糕。<b>伴随疫情红利消退、内容竞争加剧，奈飞股价也将承受巨大的压力。据市场预期，奈飞的第四季度财报可能不尽如人意，尤其是新增用户数量或将超预期放缓。</b></span><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></b></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""><b></b></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">奈飞方面必然也在做着调整，将鱿鱼游戏第二季的拍摄提上日程，这背后是提高对独家内容的资金投入，以保持其流媒体一哥的地位。此外，奈飞在价格方面也做出了大刀阔斧的改变。<b>为了提高海外渗透率与竞争力，奈飞为印度的入门级套餐降价了</b></span><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">60%</span></b><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">。与此同时，就在上周五，奈飞宣布将美国与加拿大的订阅价格上调约</span></b><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">10%</span></b><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">。</span></b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">由此可见，奈飞仍将经营重点放在海外市场拓展上。对占有率高的欧美市场涨价以直接增加</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">10%</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-hansi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">的营收，对占有率低的亚洲市场降价，以提高竞争力。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p><p><br><br>data/attachment/portal/202201/17/134122glz4a44gu9zglv64.jpg<br></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="mso-no-proof:yes">
</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><i><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">Netflix</span></i><i><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">日线图</span></i><i><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
DengXian;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></i></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-fareast-language:ZH-TW">从</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;
mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">Netflix</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-fareast-language:ZH-TW">日线图来看，受到整体科技板块下滑影响，奈飞同样自</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">11</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">月中旬开始，股价持续下滑还未触底。本周四的财报非常关键，由于市场普遍不看好奈飞的用户增长数据，<b>因此股价未来趋势的关键就在于趋势线与水平线的共同结构，也就是</b></span><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">500</span></b><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">整数位大关。</span></b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">由于财报属于测试类利空，</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">K</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">线是否会下穿</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">500</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">关口，将决定股价后续的方向。<b>考虑到奈飞的行业领先优势，如果股价在</b></span><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">500</span></b><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">上方站稳，便有逢低买入的机会。</span></b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">入场时机可以配合随机指标的超卖区金叉，增加入场胜率。再下方的支撑要看</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">480</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">与</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">420</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">两个位置。上方的阻力则要看</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">600</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">整数位大关以及</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">680</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">前高点位置。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
PMingLiU;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:PMingLiU;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-fareast-language:ZH-TW"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">今日关注数据</span></b><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></b></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">马丁路德金纪念日 <span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>美国休市</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""><span style="font-size:16.5px;"> </span></span></p>
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