【ACY证券】外汇市场围绕美元波动，重点关注澳美与镑纽交易机会
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">经过上周多个重要经济事件的洗礼，外汇市场经历巨大变动，由美元为主导对各大货币作出重新洗牌。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">ACY</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">证券自上周五便提醒交易者，在通胀压力不断提高，加息预期不断提前的当下，美元升值是外汇市场中的关键趋势，其他货币均围绕美元作相应波动，交易策略也要随此做出更改。<b>看懂美元便能把握近期市场的核心机会。除了今天的日本利率决议可能引发的日元波动外，目前值得关注的货币对还有澳元兑美元以及英镑兑纽元。</b></span><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></b></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">澳元与美元的走势往往呈现反向。由于全球多数商品以美元计价，因此美元的升值与贬值直接影响大宗商品的进出口贸易，其中就包括澳大利亚赖以生存的矿产与能源。澳元的价值也正是体现在贸易出口上，<b>这也就导致近期美元的升值，触发铁矿石价格下滑，从而引发澳元的贬值。这也是近期看空澳美货币对的关键基本面因素。</b></span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p><p><br><br>data/attachment/portal/202201/18/131011egbvxsu9k1suzxse.jpg<br></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="mso-no-proof:yes">
</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><i><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">AUDUSD</span></i><i><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-fareast-language:ZH-TW">一小时图</span></i><i><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:PMingLiU;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-fareast-language:ZH-TW"></span></i></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">从澳美货币对小时图来看，受到上周事件影响，美元随之大幅波动，而澳美货币对波动更为剧烈。由此可见，澳元汇率对美元的波动异常敏感。<b>从波动幅度来看，上涨的幅度要弱于下跌，技术面来看呈现空头局势。</b>有意思的是，现价正在</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">0.72</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">关口震荡企稳，该位置正是此前涨平涨中继形态的价格静区。从对称结构来看，</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">K</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">线很可能形成跌平跌形态。因此澳美货币对不管是技术面还是基本面均以看空为主。日内交易主要关注前高点供给区也就是</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">0.722-0.723</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">区间。中短线交易则要看下穿</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">0.72</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">静区突破的跟随做空机会，可以配合</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">CCI</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">指标进入</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">-100</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">区域的空头信号。现价下方的支撑在</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">0.713-0.715</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">前低点附近。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p><p><br><br>data/attachment/portal/202201/18/131036px0ukx2vkvbc0u00.jpg<br></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="mso-no-proof:yes">
</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:PMingLiU;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-fareast-language:ZH-TW"></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><i><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">GBPNZD</span></i><i><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-fareast-language:ZH-TW">一小时图</span></i><i><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:PMingLiU;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-fareast-language:ZH-TW"></span></i></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-fareast-language:ZH-TW">除了直盘货币对以外，英镑的强势与纽元的弱势相互匹配，看涨镑纽货币对同样值得关注。从镑纽小时图来看，由于新西兰方面消息面繁杂，汤加火山爆发，疫情时好时坏，地产价格飞涨等多方面因素，导致纽元的汇率大幅波动。镑美近期两次在</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">2</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">的整数位大关获得支撑，收出两根长下影线，体现下方强多头支撑。考虑到货币整体的强弱对比，交易策略以逢低做多为主。现价下方有头肩底反转形态支撑，短线多单需要关注</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">2-2.003</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">的入场机会。上方的阻力要看</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">2.01-2.013</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">的前高点供给区。技术面关注</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">K</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">线触及布林带下沿的回归信号。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-fareast;
mso-fareast-font-family:PMingLiU;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:PMingLiU;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-fareast-language:ZH-TW"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:DengXian;mso-ascii-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-hansi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">今日关注数据</span></b><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></b></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">15:00<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext">英国</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">12</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">月失业率</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">18:00<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext">欧元区</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">1</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">月经济景气指数</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">19:00<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>OPEC</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext">公布原油市场月度报告</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">21:30<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext">美国</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">1</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei";color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext">月纽约联储制造业指数</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""><span style="font-size:16.5px;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;vertical-align:
baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Segoe UI";mso-ansi-language:EN-US">联系我们</span></b><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:SimSun;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Segoe UI";
mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;vertical-align:
baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Segoe UI";mso-ansi-language:EN-US">电话：</span><span style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Segoe UI";
mso-ansi-language:EN-US">167 4049 5509<span lang="ZH-CN">（中国）</span></span><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:SimSun;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Segoe UI";
mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;vertical-align:
baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
SimSun;mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Segoe UI"">1300
729 171</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Segoe UI"">（澳大利亚）</span><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:SimSun;mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Segoe UI";mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;vertical-align:
baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Segoe UI"">QQ</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Segoe UI"">：</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Segoe UI"">8000 97651</span><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:SimSun;mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei";
mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Segoe UI";mso-ansi-language:EN-US"> </span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;vertical-align:
baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
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