【ACY证券】通胀席卷之下，市场一片狼藉，未知环境成就趋势行情
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">昨日美国发布了</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">1</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">月份</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">CPI</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">通胀数据，报得</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">7.5%</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">，远超过预期值。本次通胀创下了四十年来新高，完全打破了市场对通胀自行降温的期待。由于通胀高低与加息预期直接挂钩，在数据公布后，掉期利率市场将加息的预期重新提高。目前交易者倾向于美联储会在</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">3</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">月份加息</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">50</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">个基点，年内将加息</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">7</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">次！<b>整个金融市场随之呈现同向波动，美元触底反弹，而黄金、原油与全球股市集体冲高回落，纷纷跌破关键支撑。</b></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""><b></b></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">美联储高管布拉德随后的讲话更是令各类资产雪上加霜。他表示美联储需要大举行动来控制通胀，并支持在</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">7</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">月份累计加息</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">100</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">个基点。<b>如此鹰派的态度无疑令投资者胆寒，再想到新冠疫情如利剑悬于头顶，目前整个市场处于一种“未知”的状态。</b>大家都清楚美联储肯定会在年内加息，但仍摸不清具体会怎么做。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">不过也<b>正是在这种“未知”的环境下，反而会出现短线交易机会</b>。
投资者在面对未知风险时往往会选择规避，而非迎难而上。而规避的途径则是对资产进行抛售、对冲、避险或做空，无论哪种途径都将对资产价格产生巨大压力。这便是金融心理学中最经典的“损失厌恶”，不管是机构还是散户，都不是绝对理性人。因此<b>在</b></span><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">3</span></b><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">月份利率决议之前，美元看涨、美股看空，黄金震荡走弱仍然是近期核心的交易思路。</span></b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p><p><br><br>data/attachment/portal/202202/11/121849hn3nznycvvu3ckk3.jpg<br></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU">
</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><i><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">NAS100</span></i><i><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">一小时图</span></i><i><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></i></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">从纳指四小时图来看，经过昨日的通胀行情，纳指脱离上涨趋势，开始转向下行。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">K</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">线连续收阴，未有反弹迹象。不过</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">200</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">均线还未出现拐点，同时现价下方是关键的支撑</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">14500</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">前低水平线，短线仍有反弹的可能。指标方面，鳄鱼线开口扩大方向向下，</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">AO</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">柱线持续下滑，</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">AC</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">柱线同样保持在零线下方，日内的空头局势较为明显。<b>结合加密市场今日早盘的俯冲行情，交易策略以日内顺势做空与短线等待信号为主。</b>日内做空的阻力在</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">14700</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">附近，支撑则要看</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">14500</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">，属于右侧交易，相应缩小盈亏比。短线入场则需要观察</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">K</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">线抵达</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">14500</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">后的反应。如果</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">K</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">线强势收阴突破支撑，便是跟随空单的机会。相反，如果</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">K</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">线形成长下影线，便需要等待指数反弹后，再行逢高入场空单。短线阻力在</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">14800-14900</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">区间，而下方的支撑则要看</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">14200</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">和</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">14000</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">整数位大关。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""><span style="font-size:16.5px;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">今日关注数据</span></b><b><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></b></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">17:00 IEA</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">公布月度原油市场报告</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">23:00 </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">美国</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">2</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">月密歇根大学消费者信心指数</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;line-height:normal;background:white"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""><span style="font-size:16.5px;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">联系我们</span></b></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">电话：</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">167 4049 5509<span lang="ZH-CN">（中国）</span></span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;">
</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">1300 729 171</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">（澳大利亚）</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">QQ</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">：</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> 8008 83691 </span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">微信：</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">acyau2011</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">官网：</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; color: blue;">https://www.acycn.com</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">邮箱：</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif; color: blue;">[email protected]</span></span></span></p><p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;"> </span></span></span></p><p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><br><br>data/attachment/portal/202202/11/121908inkr3gc6rgzngozo.jpg<br><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: Calibri, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span></span><span class="normaltextrun" style="font-size: large; background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="eop" style="font-size: large; background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="normaltextrun" style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="normaltextrun" style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="eop" style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">免责声明：</span></b></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="paragraph" style="margin:0in;background:white;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span class="normaltextrun"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">本文所提供的信息仅为一般建议，并未考虑到投资者的个人目标、财务状况或投资需求。
外汇和衍生品交易风险较高。 在您决定进行外汇交易投资之前，我们建议您考虑您的投资目标、风险承受能力以及交易经验。 有任何疑问，请您咨询独立专业的财务或税务的意见。</span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;">ACY Securities Pty Ltd<span lang="ZH-CN">（</span>AFSL 403863<span lang="ZH-CN">）受澳大利亚证券投资委员会授权和监管。</span></span></span><span class="normaltextrun"><span style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"> </span></span><span class="eop"><span style="font-family: "Microsoft YaHei", sans-serif;"> </span></span><span style="font-family: "Segoe UI", sans-serif;"></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""><i style="font-family: Tahoma, Arial, Helvetica, snas-serif;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""><span style="font-size:16.5px;"> </span></span></i></span></p>
页:
[1]