【ACY证券】风险资金受俄乌来回拉扯，原油价格被欧美死死摁住
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">一个周末过去，俄罗斯和乌克兰的局势非但没有缓和，反而有愈演愈烈的架势。<b>一会是炮轰居民区，一会是天然气管道爆炸，俄罗斯随后又宣布延长军事演习。而欧美国家一边渲染战争气氛，一边计划相应制裁。</b>不管这个仗是否真打得起来，市场中的恐慌情绪早已拉满了。投资者们该抛售的抛售，该避险的避险，整个金融市场呈现短暂的单边趋势，</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">WTI</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">原油与黄金连续两周上涨，而美国三大股指震荡下滑，就连道琼斯指数同样表现不佳。然而这可苦了那些“抄底”的
股民朋友。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">ACY</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">证券提醒交易者，<b>近期的地缘风险非常之大，加上货币政策紧缩，即便各大股指集体抵达一个月前的关键支撑，股市仍有突破并继续下滑的可能。</b></span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""><b></b></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">在这场战争风波中，除了黄金以外，就要属原油的涨势最为凶猛。然而上周油价的表现却不尽如人意。这是由于市场认为，<b>不管俄乌战争是否打响，欧美国家都会出手限制原油的价格。</b>白宫政府现在有两个重要目标，一方面要转移民众对高物价的担忧，另一方面还要不惜代价地控制通胀。因此，原油的价格很可能已经见顶，无法再作出突破，并将开启大幅度回调。从消息面来看，伊朗核谈判、俄乌局势缓和或经济恢复放缓等任意事件都可能引发原油多头的撤离，从而形成短线油价的强空头局势。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p><p><br><br>data/attachment/portal/202202/22/133935kyovlp7yofo7lvyv.jpg<br></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="EN-AU" style="mso-no-proof:yes">
</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><i><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">USWTI</span></i><i><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">一小时图</span></i><i><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei""></span></i></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:normal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">从原油小时图来看，上方</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">93</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">美元位置已经三次阻碍油价上涨，形成了多重供给区形态，头部压力逐渐释放。上周三受到俄罗斯撤军影响，油价更是快速下滑。这说明俄乌战局已被纳入市价当中，<b>战争风险利多出尽，基本面短线利空压力较为明显。</b>从形态上来看，油价呈现箱体震荡结构，因此入场交易应采用高抛低吸的波段策略。消息面需要配合俄乌关系缓和，而技术面可以结合随机指标超卖区死叉。<b>今日早盘有消息称，普京与拜登峰会已经被双方接受，再度令市场认为局势重回谈判桌，这场俄乌战争很可能打不起来。</b>原油的价格在短短</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">10</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">分钟内开始大跌，短线空头力量较强。整体来看，交易策略以逢高做空为主，现价上方的短线阻力可以看</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">91</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">的早盘高点以及</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">93</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">的多重供给区位置。中线空单入场则仍需要关注，实体</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">K</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei"">线下穿</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">87.7</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Microsoft YaHei"">的突破空头信号。一旦俄罗斯撤军或伊朗核谈判达成，原油的回调幅度远不止目前的行情。</span><span lang="EN-AU" style="font-family:"Microsoft YaHei",sans-serif;mso-bidi-font-family:
"Microsoft YaHei""></span></span></p>
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