【ACY证券】前有拆股后有诉讼，特斯拉股价惊艳起飞
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">自</span>7月中旬开始，美国成长板块全面快速反弹，六大科技股除Meta外均大幅收涨。</span></b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">在经济衰退的威胁下，这些热门股集体重返往昔荣光。要说疫情后最热门也是涨幅最夸张的股票，那必然要属特斯拉。其股价在经历拆股与纳入指数后，于去年</span>1</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">1</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">月初抵达</span>1</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">230</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">美元，涨幅高达</span>6</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">00</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">%。</span><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">在经历半年的回调后，特斯拉股价近一个月再度反弹</span>4</span></b><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">0</span></b><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">%，重新成为股民们手中的香饽饽</span></b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">，但同时特斯拉公司也不断被推上舆论的风口浪尖。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">在</span><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">昨日的特斯拉股东大会上，通过了一项拆股计划，准备将股票</span>1拆3，以降低投资的门槛，吸引更多散户投资者。</span></b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">这项计划的首次提出是在</span>3月2</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">8</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">日，股价在提出当天大幅跳涨</span>8%。由此可见，市场认为如果股价回到</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">20</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">年</span>9月（1拆5之后）的低位，将会有更多的散户投资者愿意“接盘”。此外，马斯克在大会中直言，美国通胀即将迅猛下滑，经济将遭遇轻度衰退。这种表态其实是为了缓和特斯拉财报中的“不佳”表现，打消股东们的疑虑。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">在上周发布的二季度财报中，特斯拉的业绩环比全面走弱、营收、利润、毛利率、</span>EPS均有所下滑，甚至不如去年四季度的表现。其中二季度的汽车交付仅2</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">5</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">万辆，远低于市场预期的</span>3</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">5</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">万，两年来首次环比下跌。特斯拉这种成长股的股东最看重业绩增长速度，股价也受到极大的影响。</span><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">不过对业绩下滑市场早有预期，虽然各项数据环比下降，但却都超过预期值，因此特斯拉股价在财报公布后大幅度反弹。</span></b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">马斯克的讲话看似说的是宏观经济，实际上说的是特斯拉的未来经营。随着通胀下滑，生产成本降低，毛利率恢复，业绩仅遭受轻度打击，而特斯拉未来可期，这才是马斯克想表达的态度。</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">除了上述基本面信息外，特斯拉目前还面临法律的诉讼。由于马斯克</span>“出尔反尔”拒绝收购推特，推特公司一纸诉状将特斯拉告上法庭。诉讼程序将提前到1</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">0</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">月份执行，负责的法官曾勒令不情愿的买家完成收购，因此</span><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">最终的诉讼结果很有可能并不利于特斯拉。毕竟从马斯克拒绝的态度来看，收购推特可能并非是一桩好买卖。</span></b><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></b></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"> </span><br><br>data/attachment/portal/202208/05/164433lwhbzddwlh55080h.jpg<br></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><i><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">Tesla日线图</span></i><i><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></i></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">从特斯拉日线图来看，自从</span>5月2</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">6</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">日美国首次公布</span>GDP负增长之后，整个科技板块连带特斯拉股价便开始筑底。股价反弹的契机发生在</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">7</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">月</span>1</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">4</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">日加息预期回落，</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">21</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">日财报发布以及</span>2</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">8</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">日</span>GDP负增长，能够发现主导股价走向的并非特斯拉的业绩变化，而是大环境的趋势。指标方面，MACD柱线高点保持水平，股价却大幅度上涨，虽然没有形成顶部背离，但越往上走股价承受的压力变越大，需要警惕消息面回调压力。考虑到平均增长率下滑，裁员消息以及推特诉讼等利空影响，特斯拉以及美国科技板块的价格近期上涨有些过快，存在大涨大跌的可能，不得不防。已经持有特斯拉股票的交易者，可以考虑利用做空工具对风险进行对冲。</span><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">长线投资者可以关注底部颈线与趋势线共同结构</span>7</span></b><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">65</span></b><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">位置附近。</span></b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"> </span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">今日关注数据</span></b><b><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></b></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0000pt;background:rgb(255,255,255);"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">2</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">0</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">:</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">30 </span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">加拿大</span>7月就业人数</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0000pt;background:rgb(255,255,255);"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">2</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">0</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">:</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">30 </span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">美国</span>7月失业率</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0000pt;background:rgb(255,255,255);"><span style="font-size:16.5px;"><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">2</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">0</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">:</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">30 </span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;">美国</span>7月非农就业人口</span><span style="font-family: 微软雅黑;"></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0000pt;background:rgb(255,255,255);"><span style="font-family: 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