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5#
发表于 2010-7-19 10:33:19
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来自： INNA
nilei同学啊，您老的论点俺先不说，就说说您的论据吧...
你的数据来源应该是：http://www.skillsaustralia.gov.a ... ionsProgrammers.pdf
里面P3的Occupation trends提到：
Skill shortages
Shortages have been evident for specialist skills over most of the past decade (except in 2001, 2003 and 2004) but the number of skills in shortage has varied. Fourteen specialist ICT skills were assessed as being in shortage in 2008 but in 2009 there were only 2.
在过去的10年中（2001，2003，2004除外），specialist明显短缺，但短缺数量一直是变化不定的。2008有14种speciallist短缺，而2009只有两种specialist短缺。
这说的只是种类变化，并非数量变化。当然，如果您坚持说种类的变化，终将反映到数量变化中，我也没办法说您错：）
实际上，最有说服力的，应该是pdf的结论。
Summary
Occupational supply from higher education has declined over recent years, raising concern that new supply to this occupation may not be sufficient to support economic growth and offset attrition1. While the supply of suitable candidates for ICT Professional occupations appears adequate, the declining supply of domestic graduates in the field of Information Technology indicates a potential constraint to economic growth in the future.
不是需求剧减，而是担心不足（当然，这只是针对Occupational supply from higher education而言）。表面上来看供应充足，但本地供应的下降，将制约着未来的经济发展。
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